Futurist Amy Webb ended her famous 20-year trend report because trends alone no longer predict the future. What matters now is understanding convergences—where multiple forces collide to create net-new phenomena that reshape industries, markets, and society. Leaders distracted by "the shiny" miss these transformations until it's too late. Convergences result when trends collide with government intervention, geopolitics, and social forces to create fundamentally new phenomena that redistribute power and rewrite rules in ways single trends cannot. Leaders miss critical shifts because they chase trendy innovations while remaining captive to outdated business models, causing talent to flee and long-term competitiveness to erode.