Trump's approval rating has crashed to 37%, his lowest ever in Times/Siena polling, as young and non-white voters who swung him the 2024 election now disapprove by 76% and 71% respectively. A new Times poll reveals Democrats hold a commanding 10-point midterm lead and could retake the House despite Republican gerrymandering, but internal divisions within both parties will shape 2028. Trump's approval rating fell to 37%, breaking the long-standing 38% floor, driven by disapproval of his handling of the cost of living (28% approval) and the Iran conflict (30% approval).