Iran is now stronger than before the war started, controlling 20% of global oil via the Strait of Hormuz while the US faces an escalation trap with no clear off-ramp. Professor Robert Pape warns a 70% chance of US ground troops deploying to Iran within weeks, risking both a global economic crisis and mass casualty terrorist attacks that could reshape US politics. Air power alone has never toppled a regime in history; despite killing Iran's Supreme Leader and 137 top officials, the Iranian government survived and actually gained strategic control of the Strait of Hormuz within days.